Israeli Election Deadlocked: Temporary Projection No Bloc Wins Majority
Israel's Knesset election vote counting is still ongoing. Preliminary projections show no bloc reaching the 61-seat majority threshold — Arab parties could potentially be decisive.
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Elections to the 120-seat Knesset were held on Tuesday (27/10/2026), with counting taking place on 28–29 October. Based on projections of a partial count of around 85–91%, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's bloc won 53 seats, Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc 48 seats, and the Arab parties a record 19 seats. All of these numbers are projections and vary between sources — they are not final results.
Likud is the largest single party with around 26 seats. The participation rate reached 77.7%, the highest since 1999. Final certified results are expected at noon October 29 local time, with an official deadline of November 4. Netanyahu continues to serve as caretaker PM.
The role of Arab parties is in the spotlight. Mansour Abbas from Ra'am told Channel 12: "With numbers like these, there is no government." However, a number of analysts warn that Arab parties will not necessarily automatically become kingmakers, because Netanyahu and Eisenkot have so far refused to rely on them.
President Isaac Herzog urged party leaders to be open-minded about forming a government.
News source: Newscord — https://newscord.org/article/as-vote-count-keeps-israel-in-suspense-what-happens-next--Story_20261028_AsvotecountkeepsIsra3fc04efc Ummid.com — https://ummid.com/news/2026/10/28/arab-parties-emerge-as-king-maker-in-this-israeli-election.html Bahamas Spectator — https://bahamasspectator.com/why-arab-parties-may-not-be-the-kingmakers-in-this-israeli-election/
What to monitor next
Konstelasi koalisi masih cair; hasil resmi menunggu sertifikasi otoritas pemilu Israel.
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